by Jeff » 23 Apr 2011, 16:57
About as good a set of results we could expect really.
Accy were always going to win today, Bradford are absolute litter and Accy are immense at home. However this now does leave Accy with 3 tough fixtures (away at shrewsbury, home vs a resurgent Barnet and away at Burton). They are nowhere near as formidible away as they are at home, and with Barnet in searing form there is a chance they may only pick up a maximum of 3 points between now and the end of the season.
Gillingham losing at home to Barnet is a big shock, but bodes well for us as Barnet have a couple of our rivals to play (see above). Gillingham are another strong home side, so for them to capitulate like that is a real turn up for the books, and great news for us. They have tough closing fixtures (Rotherham (A), Macc (H) and Chesterfield (A)), similar to us but they may only pick up 5 points from those 3, meaning we'd only need 4 points to pip them to the playoffs.
Its going to take quite an effort for Rotherham and Port Vale to gate-crash the party now, Rotherham perhaps have the best chance as they are playing sides in and around there but they're both going to need 5 points to even overhaul us, let alone anyone else. Its not impossible, but it is going to require very special performances from them to get into the playoffs.
Shrewsbury for me are big favourites for third place. I'd also say Wycombe have done enough for the playoffs, but they seem to be the team who are going to take poor form into the big games and I can see them slipping up. Its between Accrington, Gillingham, Stevenage and ourselves for the remaining 3 spots, and the toughness of fixtures is incredibly similar for all clubs so its too tight to call. How we could have done with that extra point now!
The weekends results just go to make the Burton game even more crucial. We have a chance to really steal a march on a lot of clubs around us, but Burtons tails will be up after their win today. I'll be there, and I'm sure it will be a tense experience!
About as good a set of results we could expect really.
Accy were always going to win today, Bradford are absolute litter and Accy are immense at home. However this now does leave Accy with 3 tough fixtures (away at shrewsbury, home vs a resurgent Barnet and away at Burton). They are nowhere near as formidible away as they are at home, and with Barnet in searing form there is a chance they may only pick up a maximum of 3 points between now and the end of the season.
Gillingham losing at home to Barnet is a big shock, but bodes well for us as Barnet have a couple of our rivals to play (see above). Gillingham are another strong home side, so for them to capitulate like that is a real turn up for the books, and great news for us. They have tough closing fixtures (Rotherham (A), Macc (H) and Chesterfield (A)), similar to us but they may only pick up 5 points from those 3, meaning we'd only need 4 points to pip them to the playoffs.
Its going to take quite an effort for Rotherham and Port Vale to gate-crash the party now, Rotherham perhaps have the best chance as they are playing sides in and around there but they're both going to need 5 points to even overhaul us, let alone anyone else. Its not impossible, but it is going to require very special performances from them to get into the playoffs.
Shrewsbury for me are big favourites for third place. I'd also say Wycombe have done enough for the playoffs, but they seem to be the team who are going to take poor form into the big games and I can see them slipping up. Its between Accrington, Gillingham, Stevenage and ourselves for the remaining 3 spots, and the toughness of fixtures is incredibly similar for all clubs so its too tight to call. How we could have done with that extra point now!
The weekends results just go to make the Burton game even more crucial. We have a chance to really steal a march on a lot of clubs around us, but Burtons tails will be up after their win today. I'll be there, and I'm sure it will be a tense experience!