by CP Gull » 06 Mar 2012, 15:35
gulltom wrote: Looking at our remaining fixtures
Aldershot - Home
Bristol Rovers - Home
Rotherham - Away
Burton Albion - Away
Swindon - Away
Port Vale - Home
Barnet - Away
Accrington - Home
Oxford - Away
Southend - home
Wimbledon - Away
Crewe - Home
Hereford - Away
Do you think this is achievable?
You forgot Southend at home.
Looking at it again, the run in isn't perhaps as difficult as I seemed to think it was. We have to face three teams currently in the top seven (Swindon, Southend and Oxford) and only two teams currently in the bottom six (Barnet and Hereford) and of those surely the odds are that Hereford's fate will more than likely than not have been decided by the time we come to face them and personally I think Barnet will stay up. As it stands I can't see beyond the teams currently occupying the bottom six places for the two relegation spots as in my opinion Bradford and AFC Wimbledon will be safe.
What I do see is potentially a number of fixtures against teams who may well end up with very little to play for which is no bad thing in my eyes. Of course, I'm sure fans of Aldershot, Crewe and Rotherham still fancy their (outside) chances of the play offs now - but will some of them still do by the time we come to play them or will they have settled for mid table ? As for the rest, I think it's already pretty safe to say that the likes of Bristol Rovers, Burton Albion, Accrington and Port Vale (when they get their 10 point deduction for going into administration) will all be in League 2 next season and as I say I think AFC Wimbledon will be well clear by the time we come to play them.
All in all, I don't think our run in is too bad, but one thing that is important is that we get a decent return from our next two home games (i.e. 4 points minimum) so as to keep the momentum going before we head off for those three tough away games (Rotherham, Burton and Swindon) which may well decide our season, well at least in terms of our chances of automatic promotion.
[quote="gulltom"] Looking at our remaining fixtures
Aldershot - Home
Bristol Rovers - Home
Rotherham - Away
Burton Albion - Away
Swindon - Away
Port Vale - Home
Barnet - Away
Accrington - Home
Oxford - Away
[size=150][b]Southend - home[/b][/size]
Wimbledon - Away
Crewe - Home
Hereford - Away
Do you think this is achievable?[/quote]
You forgot Southend at home.
Looking at it again, the run in isn't perhaps as difficult as I seemed to think it was. We have to face three teams currently in the top seven (Swindon, Southend and Oxford) and only two teams currently in the bottom six (Barnet and Hereford) and of those surely the odds are that Hereford's fate will more than likely than not have been decided by the time we come to face them and personally I think Barnet will stay up. As it stands I can't see beyond the teams currently occupying the bottom six places for the two relegation spots as in my opinion Bradford and AFC Wimbledon will be safe.
What I do see is potentially a number of fixtures against teams who may well end up with very little to play for which is no bad thing in my eyes. Of course, I'm sure fans of Aldershot, Crewe and Rotherham still fancy their (outside) chances of the play offs now - but will some of them still do by the time we come to play them or will they have settled for mid table ? As for the rest, I think it's already pretty safe to say that the likes of Bristol Rovers, Burton Albion, Accrington and Port Vale (when they get their 10 point deduction for going into administration) will all be in League 2 next season and as I say I think AFC Wimbledon will be well clear by the time we come to play them.
All in all, I don't think our run in is too bad, but one thing that is important is that we get a decent return from our next two home games (i.e. 4 points minimum) so as to keep the momentum going before we head off for those three tough away games (Rotherham, Burton and Swindon) which may well decide our season, well at least in terms of our chances of automatic promotion.